Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000153 0.000170 0.000187 0.000208 0.000231 0.000256 0.000285
2025-04-20 0.000123 0.000146 0.000174 0.000209 0.000251 0.000302 0.000368
2025-04-27 0.000106 0.000133 0.000167 0.000213 0.000273 0.000351 0.000459
2025-05-04 0.000092 0.000121 0.000159 0.000212 0.000286 0.000387 0.000538
2025-05-11 0.000083 0.000113 0.000154 0.000214 0.000302 0.000428 0.000627
2025-05-18 0.000075 0.000105 0.000147 0.000213 0.000312 0.000461 0.000708
2025-05-25 0.000068 0.000098 0.000142 0.000211 0.000321 0.000492 0.000790
2025-06-01 0.000062 0.000091 0.000136 0.000208 0.000327 0.000519 0.000868
2025-06-08 0.000056 0.000084 0.000128 0.000201 0.000325 0.000533 0.000925
2025-06-15 0.000052 0.000081 0.000126 0.000203 0.000339 0.000574 0.001037
2025-06-22 0.000050 0.000079 0.000125 0.000207 0.000356 0.000623 0.001169
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000074 0.000119 0.000202 0.000356 0.000641 0.001245
2025-07-06 0.000041 0.000067 0.000111 0.000192 0.000347 0.000642 0.001289
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000064 0.000109 0.000193 0.000357 0.000684 0.001429
2025-07-20 0.000037 0.000063 0.000108 0.000197 0.000375 0.000743 0.001618
2025-07-27 0.000035 0.000060 0.000105 0.000196 0.000384 0.000782 0.001771
2025-08-03 0.000033 0.000058 0.000104 0.000198 0.000398 0.000836 0.001968
2025-08-10 0.000031 0.000056 0.000101 0.000196 0.000405 0.000875 0.002136
2025-08-17 0.000029 0.000053 0.000098 0.000195 0.000411 0.000914 0.002310
2025-08-24 0.000028 0.000051 0.000095 0.000192 0.000414 0.000946 0.002473
2025-08-31 0.000026 0.000047 0.000090 0.000185 0.000408 0.000953 0.002568
2025-09-07 0.000025 0.000046 0.000090 0.000188 0.000423 0.001016 0.002841
2025-09-14 0.000024 0.000046 0.000090 0.000191 0.000442 0.001092 0.003171